Sampling

Readings

Presentations

Exercises

  1. Carefully read the following examples and then choose your preferred sampling unit. Explain your choice.
  2. It is frequent in animal production systems to divide animals into separate groups. Dairy farms (for example) manage lactating and non-lactating stock as separate groups. These divisions can make the collection of a representative sample from a population difficult. Give three examples from livestock enterprises where free mixing of animals is prevented. List all of the sub-groups that may be present in each. How would you obtain a representative sample from each enterprise?
  3. Suppose you wish to determine the prevalence of disease within the pig population of a region. Previous surveys have indicated that 70% of the region's pigs are located in very large, intensive specialised pig farms, 20% of pigs are found within smaller farming units (frequently as a secondary industry on large dairy farms), and 10% of pigs are kept singly within small plots around towns (by people whose major occupation is not farming). With proportional stratification, a sample would be selected at random from within each stratum such that the aggregated sample would consist of 70% pigs obtained from the large intensive farms, 20% pigs obtained from the smaller pig farms, and 10% pigs obtained from small plots near towns. Explain why it is important for each stratum of pigs to be represented in this sample for the prevalence survey.
  4. Assume that the disease that you are investigating is leptospirosis: combine your knowledge of leptospirosis with the description of the farming systems. Is the epidemiology of leptospirosis likely to vary between the different strata?
  5. It is decided to do a survey to estimate the prevalence of disease X in a population of cattle. Three experts are asked for their opinions about the expected prevalence and they reply: 75%, 50% and 25%. Assuming that there are 1 million head of cattle in the study area, a desired precision of 5% and a desired confidence level of 95%. Calculate the needed sample size according to the three expert opinions. When prevalence is unknown and you have absolutely no idea about its expected value, what prevalence estimate should you use for the sample size calculation?
  6. Serological surveillance for a disease of poultry is to be conducted in a population of 15,000 villages. Each village contains between 10 and 2100 eligible birds. The mean number of birds per village is 750. The requirement is to be 95% certain of declaring a village positive for disease if the within-village prevalence is greater than or equal to 5% and the between-village prevalence is greater than or equal to 1%. If all birds were tested in sampled villages, how many villages would need to be sampled to achieve the required probability of detection?

Example examination questions

  1. Using examples, write brief notes on sampling methods used to select participants in epidemiological studies (2001 written).
  2. Briefly describe the essential features and application of stratified random sampling (2002 written).

Additional reading